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Can $ETH hit $30K this cycle?
Assuming the next few months shape up into a true peak bull market and $BTC runs to $200K from here, I see three possible scenarios for Ethereum:
1) Bear case – BTC remains the main focus of this cycle
In this case, the ETH/BTC ratio likely stays around its current 0.036 level, with ETH running in correlation with the broader market to roughly $7,200.
2) Base case – First BTC, then ETH and alts
BTC tops first, then trades sideways, giving ETH and alts even more room to run. ETH/BTC returns to its 2021–2022 range around 0.07, which would send ETH to about $14,000.
3) Bull case – ETH becomes the new darling of institutions
The ultra-bull scenario is that the current trend accelerates and more institutional buyers and whales (like @fundstrat and others) frame this as ETH’s 2017 moment. If ETH/BTC breaks into new highs beyond 0.15, that would put ETH north of $30,000.
Of course, there are plenty of ifs and buts here - and the whole premise assumes the market as a whole is extremely bullish over the coming months. But macro signals point exactly in that direction, which is why this base case is the one I’m betting on.
Realistically, I think we’ll see $ETH somewhere between $10K–$15k this cycle.
And just like in 2017 when a 6-figure BTC felt delusional, today’s ETH bull cases may feel overly optimistic, but in my opinion they’re far from impossible.
Targets aside, I don’t think there’s ever been a better time to be max bullish on ETH - and just imagine the second-order effects that will have on alts.
Comfortably all in.